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巴西众议院选出109名女性议员,占比21.2%创历史新高

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Women gain ground in Brazil’s Congress

巴西新一届国会众议院选出109名女性议员,较2022年增加18人,占比21.2%创历史最高;参议院选出12名女性参议员,亦为单次选举最多。女性党团规模扩大,但男性仍占众议院78.8%席位。

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众议院女性席位占比升至21.2%创历史新高,参议院女性党团预计达18人,但男性仍占78.8%,实际议程影响力待观察。

巴西2027年2月就职的新一届国会将迎来历史上最多女性代表。众议院513席中选出109名女性议员,比2022年的91人增加18人,占比21.2%为历史最高;参议院选出12名女性参议员,为单次选举中女性当选人数最多的一次,女性党团预计2027年达到18人,占81席的22.2%。尽管女性人数增加,男性仍占据众议院404席,占78.8%。

巴西新一届国会将于2027年2月就职,女性代表人数将创历史新高。众议院共选出109名女性议员,比2022年的91人增加18人,占513个席位的21.2%,为历史最高比例。参议院选出12名女性参议员,为单次选举中女性当选人数最多的一次;随着新代表就任,女性党团预计将在2027年达到18人,占81个席位的22.2%。尽管女性人数增加,男性仍占据众议院404席,占78.8%,女性仍为少数。109名当选女性中,59人成功连任。

从政党分布看,由劳工党(PT)、巴西共产党(PCdoB)和绿党(PV)组成的联盟选出的女性最多,共34人,占109名当选女性的31.2%。劳工党单独选出25名女性,为各党最多;社会主义与自由党(PSOL)以8人紧随其后。巴西共产党选出7人,巴西社会党(PSB)5人,绿党2人。中间派方面,社会民主党(PSD)和巴西民主运动(MDB)各选出5名女性。中右翼和右翼阵营中,自由党(PL)选出的女性最多,有22名众议员;巴西联盟8人,Podemos 7人,进步党(PP)6人,共和党人5人。新党(Novo)2人,民主革新党(PRD)和巴西社会民主党(PSDB)各1人。

圣保罗的Erika Hilton获得超过150万票,创下众议院女性候选人得票纪录,超过Joice Hasselmann在2018年创下的108万票纪录。各州女性代表分布差异显著:圣保罗16人最多,米纳斯吉拉斯11人,里约热内卢10人;联邦区、皮奥伊州和罗赖马州未选出女性众议员。

中资企业直接影响方面,原文未涉及中资企业或中巴经贸的直接关联。巴西国会女性党团规模变化属于巴西国内政治人事变动,对在巴中资企业的经营、合规、采购或出口暂无直接传导链条。

CBI解读:原文显示,女性在众议院的席位占比从2022年的约17.7%升至21.2%,参议院女性党团预计从当前规模增至18人,数字上的进步明确。但CBI认为,席位增加不等于议程影响力同步上升。IDP教授、FGV Cepesp研究员Débora Thomé指出,自由党当选者中女性比例低于劳工党,她曾预期出现“一波来自自由党的右翼女性”,这与Michelle Bolsonaro担任自由党女性组织PL Mulher主席期间的基层工作有关。阿拉戈斯联邦大学(Ufal)教授Luciana Santana则提醒,当选女性并非政治同质集团,其政策取向可能进步也可能倒退。参议院女性党团将进一步向右倾斜,这意味着女性代表增加对巴西政策走向的影响,取决于当选者的党派背景与在国会中的实际权力位置,而非单纯的性别比例。

待观察:第一,2027年2月新一届国会就职后,女性党团在众议院各委员会主席职位和重要表决中的实际投票凝聚力;第二,参议院女性党团向右倾斜后,在社会保障、家庭政策等议题上的具体立法动向;第三,各州女性代表分布不均(联邦区、皮奥伊、罗赖马为零)是否在后续选举中引发选举法院或国会的配额规则讨论。

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类型
人事变动
方向
巴西
分类
宏观市场
层级
编辑整理
影响谁
在巴中资企业投资者法务团队
话题
政治人事变动
查看原文(英语)

Women gain ground in Brazil’s Congress

Brazil’s Congress will have the largest female representation in its history when the next legislature begins in February 2027. In the Chamber of Deputies (Brazil’s Lower House), 109 women were elected, 18 more than in 2022, when 91 won seats. Women will hold 21.2% of the Chamber’s 513 seats, the highest share ever recorded. In the Senate, 12 women were elected, the most female senators chosen in a single election. With the new representatives, the women’s caucus is expected to reach 18 members in 2027. If confirmed, women will hold 22.2% of the Senate’s 81 seats. Experts interviewed by Valor said a larger women’s caucus in Congress represents important progress, but it remains to be seen whether the increase will affect the political agenda. They believe that will depend on the profiles of the women elected and how much power they can exercise in Congress. Despite the increase in the number of women elected to the Chamber, they remain a minority. Men will hold 404 seats, or 78.8% of the total. Of the 109 women elected, 59 won reelection. Among the party caucuses, the federation formed by the Workers’ Party (PT), Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB), and Green Party (PV) elected the most women: 34. They account for 31.2% of the 109 women elected to the next legislature. The PT elected 25 women, the most of any party. The Socialism and Freedom Party (PSOL) followed with eight. Among them is Erika Hilton of São Paulo, who received more votes than any woman in the Chamber’s history. Hilton won more than 1.5 million votes, surpassing the previous record held by Joice Hasselmann, who received 1.08 million in 2018, when she was elected as a federal deputy from São Paulo for the now-defunct Social Liberal Party (PSL). The PCdoB elected seven women, followed by the Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) with five and the PV with two. Among the centrist parties, the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) elected five women each. On the center-right and right, the Liberal Party (PL) elected the most women, with 22 deputies. The Brazilian Union elected eight, followed by Podemos with seven and Progressives (PP) with six. Republicans elected five women. The New Party (Novo) elected two, while the Democratic Renewal Party (PRD) and Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) each elected one. Débora Thomé, a professor at IDP and researcher at FGV Cepesp, said the election result “was surprising,” because women made up a smaller share of those elected by the PL than by the PT. She had expected “a wave of right-wing women from the PL.” “That was the expectation after the intensive grassroots work Michelle Bolsonaro had been doing within the PL in several states she visited with Senator Damares Alves. The PT elected 25 women among 70 [deputies], almost 40%. That is a major development. The PL elected 22 women out of 120,” she explained. The former first lady chaired PL Mulher, the party’s women’s organization. The distribution also varies considerably among the states. São Paulo will have the largest female delegation, with 16 deputies, followed by Minas Gerais with 11 and Rio de Janeiro with 10. Bahia, Pernambuco, and Santa Catarina each elected six women. Ceará, Goiás, Maranhão, and Rio Grande do Sul will each have five female deputies, while Mato Grosso do Sul, Pará, and Paraná will have four. The remaining states will have between one and three representatives. Acre, Amapá, Mato Grosso, Rio Grande do Norte, and Rondônia each elected three women; Amazonas, Espírito Santo, and Sergipe elected two each; and Alagoas, Paraíba, and Tocantins elected one each. The Federal District, Piauí, and Roraima elected no women to the Chamber. By party, the Democratic Labor Party (PDT), Sustainability Network (Rede), Forward, Solidarity, and Missão also elected no female deputies. Luciana Santana, a professor at the Federal University of Alagoas (Ufal), said the increased presence of women in the Chamber strengthens the legitimacy of female representation and could encourage more women to run for office. “We have 50 new female deputies. The result will therefore combine this expansion in female representation with the continued presence of leaders who, in my view, were already established. That could be positive because legislative experience helps build influence and strengthens the ability to compete for leadership positions,” she said. Santana cautioned, however, that the women elected do not form a politically homogeneous bloc. That “means women with different experiences who will often contribute to progress and, in some cases, setbacks.” In the Senate, women won 12 of the 54 seats contested. It is the largest number elected in a single vote since Brazil’s return to democracy. The previous record was set in 2002, when eight women were elected. In 2018, when two-thirds of the Senate was also renewed, seven women won seats. With its new composition, the Senate women’s caucus will shift further to the right. Of the 18 women who will hold office in the next legislature, 10 belong to right-wing or center-right parties, six to left-wing parties, and two to more centrist parties. Among those elected, Michelle Bolsonaro and Bia Kicis, both representing the PL, won the Federal District’s two seats. None of the female senators who sought reelection, however, secured another term. As a result, eight women will leave the Senate. Santana said the Senate’s new composition raises expectations that women could work together on important issues, such as combating violence against women and expanding female participation in politics. “I believe the challenge posed by this greater representation is to turn presence into decision-making power and to occupy strategic positions as well—presidencies, committees, rapporteurships, party leadership posts, and roles in budget negotiations,” she said. Thomé said the larger women’s caucus will affect the political agenda only if these groups can identify areas of agreement. She cited combating violence against women and child marriage as issues of interest to most of those elected. “The major difficulty is that these women will vote on issues in line with their parties. One agenda is always the most difficult to address: sexual and reproductive rights. That is where the major divide lies, with progressive women sometimes going one way and conservative women going the other. Those issues will genuinely remain more stalled,” she said. Translation: Todd Harkin

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