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巴西资讯巴西宏观市场2026年9月25日

巴西家电厂商黑五前拟涨价8%,零售商抵制,中资供应链承压

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Price hikes pit appliance makers against retailers

巴西家电制造商计划在11月黑色星期五前提价最多8%,以应对原材料和运费成本上涨,但零售商以信贷紧缩、竞争激烈为由抵制。对在巴中资家电、零部件及渠道企业而言,涨价能否落地将直接影响销量、账期与促销节奏。

为什么值得关注

黑五前8%提价博弈,直接牵动在巴中资家电零部件供应商报价、备货节奏与回款账期。

巴西家电制造商正寻求在11月黑色星期五前将价格提高最多8%,以重建被原材料和运费成本上涨挤压的利润率,但零售商对此表示反对。Whirlpool旗下Brastemp和Consul品牌宣布自8月1日起在巴西提价约5%,TCL SEMP确认空调业务本季度提价5%至8%。在高利率和信贷收紧背景下,制造商能否成功提价将在这一年中最大购物活动之一中受到考验。对在巴中资家电、零部件供应商及渠道服务商而言,这轮价格博弈将直接牵动采购成本、促销节奏与回款周期。

巴西家电行业正在为一年中最重要的销售节点——11月黑色星期五——进行价格博弈。据Valor International报道,家电制造商计划在黑色星期五前将价格提高最多8%,以重建被原材料和运费成本上涨挤压的利润率,但零售商明确表示反对。Whirlpool(旗下拥有Brastemp和Consul品牌)宣布自8月1日起在巴西提价约5%,其拉丁美洲业务负责人Ludovic Beaufils在8月4日财报电话会议上表示,提价将在第三季度逐步实施、第四季度完成。TCL SEMP也确认其空调业务在本季度提价5%至8%。TCL SEMP住宅空调产品经理Álvaro Ruoso给出的理由是,包括铝、铜、塑料和树脂在内的商品成本已经上涨,同时由于燃料价格上涨,运费成本也上升了。

零售商方面则持相反立场。零售发展研究所(IDV)主席Jorge Gonçalves Filho表示,当前经济环境几乎没有给供应商留下提高标价的空间,在极少数产品成本上涨不可避免的情况下,由于行业竞争激烈,零售商一直寻求不将其转嫁给消费者。部分制造商选择更为谨慎的路线:Atlas Eletrodomésticos在上半年已经提价,现已决定冻结进一步涨价,CEO Márcio Veiga表示“对于2026年最后阶段,我们没有提价计划”;Philco商务副总裁Maria Cristina da Matta Silva也排除了全面提价的可能性;Midea Carrier商务和营销副总裁Mário Sousa表示,优先事项是保持竞争力并维护巴西消费者的购买力。

从行业基本面看,Eletros(家电制造商行业协会)统计1月至5月大型家电销量增长16%,受消费者更换旧家电推动,预计第四季度将较2025年同期增长5%。但该协会执行主席Jorge Nascimento同时警告,高利率、昂贵的信贷和脆弱的消费者信心继续限制家庭购买力,尤其是分期付款的高价值购买。BTG Pactual消费和零售分析师Luiz Guanais指出,维持涨价的能力取决于信贷可得性,“这是巴西一个对信贷极其敏感的品类。只有在信贷方面有所回应的情况下,价格才能维持。否则,我认为这将对销量产生重大影响,销量将会下降。”Electrolux的业绩提供了参照:在美国,该公司为应对关税将价格提高了5%至20%;在拉丁美洲,第二季度有机销售额增长4.5%,受巴西和智利销量增长推动,但价格和产品组合因竞争而下降,该地区营业利润率(剔除一次性项目)从6.5%升至7.7%。

对在巴中资企业而言,这轮价格博弈的传导路径主要集中在三条线。第一,家电整机与零部件出口商:若巴西制造商成功提价,短期利好其利润修复,但若零售商抵制导致提价落空,制造商可能向上游压价,中资压缩机、电机、塑料件、铜铝加工件供应商的报价空间将被压缩。第二,渠道与物流服务商:黑色星期五前的备货节奏若因价格分歧而推迟,中资参与的仓储、干线运输和最后一公里配送需求可能出现前低后高的波动。第三,金融与支付环节:巴西家电销售高度依赖分期付款,高利率环境下信贷收紧,中资背景的消费金融、保理和支付服务商需关注零售商现金流策略变化——UBS BB分析师Vinicius Strano指出,Magazine Luiza已采取保守策略以保留现金,寻求更有利可图的销售并优先考虑利润率。底稿未涉及中资企业直接影响,但通过供应链报价、备货节奏和消费信贷三条机制间接传导。

CBI观察:底稿显示,Whirlpool拉美二季度销售额(剔除汇率)下降2%,营业利润下降46%至2600万美元,提价本质上是利润修复动作,而非需求驱动。数据表明,Eletros统计的1至5月销量增长16%与四季度预计仅增长5%之间存在明显减速预期。CBI认为,在信贷成本高企、零售商现金流保守的背景下,8%的提价目标更可能以“结构性提价+促销折扣”的组合形式落地,而非终端标价全面上涨。中资供应商不宜将制造商提价公告直接等同于采购订单价格改善,应重点关注黑五前实际出货价与账期条款。

待观察:第一,Whirlpool提价在第三季度逐步实施、第四季度完成的实际落地幅度,以及是否引发零售商减少订单;第二,Eletros对第四季度大型家电销量同比增5%的预测是否在10月至11月得到验证;第三,巴西信贷环境变化,尤其是BCB(巴西央行)利率决策对消费分期成本的影响,以及Magazine Luiza等主要零售商在黑五前的现金流与库存策略。

CBI 观察编辑判断

底稿显示Whirlpool拉美二季度营业利润降46%、销售额降2%,提价是利润修复而非需求驱动。CBI认为,在信贷紧缩和零售商现金流保守的约束下,8%的终端提价更可能以结构性调价加促销折扣落地,中资供应商不应将提价公告直接等同于采购价改善。

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信息概要

类型
行业趋势
方向
巴西
分类
宏观市场
层级
编辑整理
地点
巴西家电制造商、零售商、中资家电整机与零部件出口商、仓储物流及消费金融服务商
核验
待核验
对象
在巴中资家电及零部件供应商贸易商金融机构
话题
行业趋势企业动态市场进入

来源信息

来源
Valor International
原文标题
Price hikes pit appliance makers against retailers
原始语言
英语
原文链接
查看原文 →
编辑
Clara Lin
查看原文(英语)

Price hikes pit appliance makers against retailers

Luiz Guanais, of BTG Divulgação Home appliance manufacturers are seeking to raise prices by as much as 8% ahead of Black Friday, in November, to rebuild margins squeezed by higher raw-material and freight costs, but retailers are pushing back. With interest rates high and credit tighter, manufacturers’ ability to push through the increases will be tested during one of the year’s biggest shopping events, when manufacturers and retailers will have to balance prices, margins, and sales volumes. Whirlpool, owner of the Brastemp and Consul brands, announced price increases in Brazil totaling about 5%, effective Aug. 1. During the company’s earnings call on Aug. 4, Ludovic Beaufils, who heads its Latin American operations, said the increase would be phased in gradually during the third quarter and completed in the fourth. The move aims to restore profitability. Brazilian retail volume falls more than expected in July, reinforcing slowdown Retailers tighten credit as early delinquencies rise Foreign retailers outperform Brazilian peers as consumer market slows Excluding currency effects, the company’s Latin America sales fell 2% in the second quarter, as lower prices and an unfavorable product mix outweighed higher volumes in a market marked by heavy promotions. Operating profit fell 46% to $26 million, according to its earnings report. Whirlpool did not respond to a request for an interview. TCL SEMP also confirmed price increases of between 5% and 8% in its air-conditioning business during the quarter. Within the industry, the argument is cost pressure. “Commodity costs have increased, including aluminum, copper, plastics, and resins, while freight costs have also risen because of higher fuel prices. This has put significant pressure on margins and made price increases necessary,” said Álvaro Ruoso, TCL SEMP’s residential air-conditioning product manager. Retailers, however, see the situation differently. “The current economic environment leaves little room for suppliers to raise list prices, and in the rare cases when higher product costs are unavoidable, retailers have sought not to pass them on to consumers because of the industry’s intense competition,” said Jorge Gonçalves Filho, president of the Retail Development Institute (IDV). Other manufacturers are taking a more cautious approach. Atlas Eletrodomésticos, which raised prices in the first half of the year, has decided to freeze further increases. “For the final stretch of 2026, we have no price increases planned,” CEO Márcio Veiga said. Philco’s commercial vice president, Maria Cristina da Matta Silva, also rules out broad-based increases. “We do not operate with a policy of across-the-board price increases.” At Midea Carrier, commercial and marketing vice president Mário Sousa said the priority is to “remain competitive and preserve Brazilian consumers’ purchasing power.” The industry’s challenge is not just the need to raise prices, but consumers’ ability to absorb the increases. According to Eletros, the industry association representing appliance manufacturers, sales of major household appliances rose 16% in volume between January and May, driven by consumers replacing older appliances, and are expected to increase 5% in the fourth quarter from the same period in 2025. The association, however, is urging caution. “High interest rates, expensive credit, and fragile consumer confidence continue to limit household purchasing power, particularly for higher-value purchases made in installments,” executive president Jorge Nascimento said. Luiz Guanais, a consumer and retail analyst at BTG Pactual, noted that the ability to sustain the increases depends on credit availability. “This is an extremely credit-sensitive category in Brazil. Prices will only hold if there is some response on the credit side. Otherwise, I think this will have a major impact on volumes, and volumes will fall.” The results from Electrolux illustrate the challenge. In the U.S., the company raised prices by between 5% and 20% in response to tariffs. In Latin America, organic sales rose 4.5% in the second quarter, driven by volume growth in Brazil and Chile, but price and mix declined because of competition, according to the company’s earnings report. The region’s operating margin, excluding nonrecurring items, rose from 6.5% to 7.7%, supported by higher sales and cost cuts. During an earnings call with analysts, CEO Yannick Fierling said that, with interest rates high, the industry has been paying greater attention to consumer financing and promotions. Electrolux did not respond to a request for an interview. Retailers are also beginning to adjust their strategies in response to pricing pressure. Analysts do not expect an aggressive price war and see retailers focusing more on protecting margins. “Magazine Luiza has adopted a conservative approach to preserve cash, seeking more profitable sales and prioritizing margins,” said Vinicius Strano, an analyst at UBS BB. Guanais of BTG adds that Casas Bahia, which is undergoing court-supervised restructuring, has no room to absorb manufacturers’ price increases. During its earnings call, Magazine Luiza CEO Frederico Trajano said the company had passed on higher prices for memory components used in smartphones and computers, even at the cost of losing some e-commerce market share. At its physical stores, sales of major household appliances rose 15% during the period. According to the company’s earnings report, 35% of sales were paid upfront, a share the company attributes to Pix, Brazil’s instant-payment system, and considers critical to reducing the impact of high interest rates. At Casas Bahia, credit has been the main constraint. Chief financial officer Elcio Ito said lending standards had become tighter, hurting sales at physical stores, while CEO Renato Franklin said the company had resized its operations based on the assumption that 2027 would be worse than 2026. Online, he said, the retailer has begun raising prices and reducing promotions to align sales volumes with inventory levels. Magazine Luiza and Casas Bahia did not respond to requests for comment. Casas Bahia’s restructuring could also change the competitive landscape. According to Strano, the closure of 298 stores as part of the court-supervised restructuring could lead to a redistribution of market share. “Foot traffic from those stores has to go somewhere. That could provide some relief for retailers that keep their stores open, as well as regional competitors and e-commerce players.” Faced with cost pressures and limited room to pass on increases, manufacturers are focusing their Black Friday and Christmas strategies on higher-value products offering more technology and energy efficiency. “Samsung continues to see opportunities in the premium segment, particularly among consumers looking to bring more technology, design, efficiency, and connectivity into their daily lives,” said Thiago Arbulu, senior director of digital appliances. LG is also betting on domestic refrigerator production. According to the company, its plant in Fazenda Rio Grande, in Paraná state, which opened at the beginning of the second half with an investment of R$1.5 billion and capacity to produce more than 600,000 units a year, cuts delivery times to retailers by as much as 80%. The strategy of focusing on higher-value products is also being adopted by brands expanding their presence in Brazil. Hisense, which sells TVs, refrigerators, washer-dryer units and air conditioners, says its sales grew by triple digits in the first half compared with the same period in 2025. For the second half, the company expects average market prices to rise because of pressure from memory and logistics costs, and plans to focus on higher-specification products such as RGB MiniLED TVs and “side-by-side” refrigerators. “We expect average market prices to rise because of these pressures,” said Matheus Benatti, Hisense Brazil’s director of marketing and products. Haier, which recently entered the Brazilian market, is taking a different approach to the promotional season. The company said it will enter Black Friday with competitive prices but plans to supplement discounts with benefits such as extended warranties and easier installation. Its Brazilian operation is still being consolidated and combines imported and locally manufactured products, while the company prepares a plan to expand local production. Financial pressure is not limited to consumers. Restocking is also being affected by more expensive credit and greater selectivity among companies. Allianz Trade, a trade credit insurer, forecasts an 8% increase in corporate insolvencies in Brazil in 2026, following a 24% jump in 2025. “We are not expecting a generalized disruption in supply, but rather a more expensive inventory build-up, greater working-capital needs, more selective purchasing, and greater reliance on financially sound suppliers,” said Felipe Tanus, the company’s credit director in Brazil. The squeeze is already visible in retail. Casas Bahia’s CEO said some credit insurers reduced the company’s credit limits starting in April, hurting the retailer’s purchasing capacity. For the appliance industry, the environment makes Black Friday a test not only of consumer demand but also of retailers’ ability to finance inventories and absorb price increases.

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