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巴西批准五款司美格鲁肽注射笔,三家药企入局搅动350亿雷亚尔市场

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Hypera, Sun Pharma and Sandoz enter weight-loss pen race

巴西Anvisa批准五款新型司美格鲁肽注射笔,Hypera、Sandoz、Sun Pharma入局,打破诺和诺德垄断。减肥药市场去年达56亿雷亚尔,预计2030年达350亿雷尔,中资药企可关注供应链与本地化生产机会。

为什么值得关注

巴西减肥药市场2030年预计达350亿雷亚尔,三家新竞争者入局打破诺和诺德垄断,中资药企可关注API供应链与本地化生产窗口。

巴西卫生监管机构Anvisa于周三(29日)批准五款新型司美格鲁肽注射笔注册,巴西药企Hypera、瑞士Sandoz和印度Sun Pharma正式进入该分子市场,打破丹麦Novo Nordisk(Ozempic和Wegovy制造商)的独家主导地位。自3月该活性成分失去独家权以来,巴西已批准六款新药。该市场去年销售额达56亿雷亚尔,预计到2030年(含替尔泊肽)可达350亿雷亚尔。对在巴中资药企而言,竞争格局变化意味着供应链合作与本地化生产窗口正在打开。

巴西卫生监管机构Anvisa于周三(29日)批准五款新型司美格鲁肽注射笔的注册,标志着巴西制药公司Hypera、瑞士Sandoz和印度Sun Pharma进入该分子市场——该分子此前由丹麦Novo Nordisk(Ozempic和Wegovy的制造商)主导。自3月该活性成分失去独家权以来,巴西现已批准六款新药。据巴西国家制药实验室协会(Alanac)和IQVIA数据,三家竞争者的加入加剧了消费者争夺战,该市场去年销售额达56亿雷亚尔。据Itaú BBA近期报告,加上替尔泊肽(美国Eli Lilly的Mounjaro的活性成分),该市场预计到2030年将达350亿雷亚尔。

新注册的注射笔使用合成司美格鲁肽,不属于仿制药——巴西法律不允许Ozempic等生物制品的仿制药版本。这些注射笔被归类为新药和生物制品的合成替代品,与EMS的司美格鲁肽注射笔Ozivy(巴西首款获注册产品)类似。所有产品均用于糖尿病治疗,但Hypera表示正在研究用于肥胖症的更高剂量。注册涉及Hypera控制的两个品牌:Semavy和Zempneo。Hypera表示Semavy应在两个月内到达药房,而Zempneo短期内无上市计划。Hypera CEO Breno de Oliveira表示Semavy有潜力成为公司主要产品之一,该产品通过与Sun Pharma合作开发,将在印度生产,加入Mantecorp产品组合。Santander估计Semavy在2027-2028年可为Hypera EBITDA增加3-4%。Itaú BBA认为凭借Hypera的医生和连锁药店分销网络,Semavy可产生更强销售。Citi则对价格侵蚀风险表示谨慎,并称投资者可能质疑Sun Pharma合作的影响。

底稿未涉及中资企业直接影响,但通过供应链与市场格局间接传导。中资原料药供应商可关注合成司美格鲁肽活性成分的API需求增长——新进入者(Hypera、Sandoz、Sun Pharma)均采用合成路线,且Sandoz和Hypera目前无本地化生产计划,正在评估市场。这意味着短期内印度和加拿大将成为主要生产地,中资CDMO企业或可介入中间体供应。此外,Anvisa审批节奏加快(自3月以来已批六款新药)表明监管通道对合成替代品持开放态度,中资药企若有意进入巴西GLP-1市场,当前是评估注册路径的窗口期。

CBI认为,此次批准的核心信号是巴西减肥药市场从单一垄断走向多极竞争,价格下行压力将逐步显现。底稿显示Citi已对价格侵蚀风险表示谨慎,而Itaú BBA则看好Hypera的分销网络优势——这反映出市场对"渠道为王"与"价格战"两种逻辑的分歧。CBI观察,Sandoz产品首次注射后可室温保存42天(30摄氏度以下)是其差异化卖点,可能改变患者用药习惯;而Hypera的Semavy两个月内到药房,将成为首个直接挑战Ozempic的本土品牌。值得注意的合规细节是,所有新注册产品均被归类为"新药和生物制品的合成替代品"而非仿制药,这意味着中资企业若以合成路线进入,需按新药注册路径申报,而非简化的仿制药通道。

待观察:一是Semavy两个月内到达药房后的实际定价与市场接受度,对比Ozempic现有价格体系;二是Sandoz的Owozy预计9月至10月间到达药房,届时巴西市场将同时有至少四款竞品在售,价格战是否触发;三是Hypera针对肥胖症适应症的更高剂量研究进展,若获批将直接切入Wegovy的核心适应症市场。

CBI 观察编辑判断

底稿显示Anvisa自3月以来已批准六款新药,监管通道对合成替代品持开放态度。CBI认为,新进入者均采用合成路线且无本地化生产计划,中资CDMO企业可关注中间体供应机会;同时,Citi对价格侵蚀的谨慎与Itaú BBA对渠道优势的看好并存,市场将进入"渠道为王"与"价格战"逻辑的验证期。

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信息概要

类型
企业动态
方向
巴西
分类
中巴合作
层级
编辑整理
地点
巴西药企Hypera、瑞士Sandoz、印度Sun Pharma、诺和诺德、中资原料药及CDMO企业
核验
待核验
对象
在巴中资药企原料药供应商医疗健康领域投资者
话题
市场进入行业趋势企业动态

来源信息

来源
Valor International
原文标题
Hypera, Sun Pharma and Sandoz enter weight-loss pen race
原始语言
英语
原文链接
查看原文 →
编辑
Clara Lin
查看原文(英语

Hypera, Sun Pharma and Sandoz enter weight-loss pen race

Semaglutide injection pen: market i expected to reach R$35 billion by 2030 Marcello Casal Jr/Agência Brasil Brazil’s health regulator, Anvisa, approved the registration of five new semaglutide injection pens on Wednesday (29). The decision marks the entry of Brazilian pharmaceutical company Hypera, Switzerland’s Sandoz, and India’s Sun Pharma into the market for the molecule used in weight-loss pens made by Denmark’s Novo Nordisk, the manufacturer of Ozempic and Wegovy. Brazil has now approved six new medicines since the active ingredient lost exclusivity in March. The arrival of three competitors intensifies the battle for consumers in a market that generated R$5.6 billion in sales last year, according to data from the Brazilian Association of National Pharmaceutical Laboratories (Alanac) and IQVIA. Combined with tirzepatide—the active ingredient in Mounjaro, made by U.S.-based Eli Lilly—the market is expected to reach R$35 billion by 2030, according to a recent Itaú BBA report. The newly registered pens use synthetic semaglutide and are not classified as generics. Brazilian law does not permit generic versions of biological products such as Ozempic. The pens were classified as new medicines and synthetic alternatives to the biological product, as was Ozivy, EMS’s semaglutide pen and the first to receive registration in Brazil. All are indicated for diabetes treatment, although Hypera said it is studying higher doses indicated for obesity. The registrations were issued for two brands controlled by the Brazilian pharmaceutical company: Semavy and Zempneo. Hypera said Semavy should reach pharmacies within two months, while there are no short-term plans to launch Zempneo. “[Semavy] has the potential to become one of Hypera’s main products, given the size of this market,” CEO Breno de Oliveira told Valor. The product was developed through a partnership with Sun Pharma, which will manufacture the medicine in India. It will join the portfolio of Mantecorp, a Hypera brand focused on primary care across various medical specialties and prescription medicines. Oliveira said the medicine could be kept outside the refrigerator after use begins. “In that respect, it is the same as Ozempic.” Analysts covering Hypera said the pharmaceutical company is well positioned to capture the potential of the semaglutide market. Santander estimates that Semavy could add between 3% and 4% to Hypera’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in 2027 and 2028. Itaú BBA said that although Semavy will arrive alongside new competitors, it could generate stronger sales because of Hypera’s distribution reach among doctors and pharmacy chains. Citi, meanwhile, expressed caution about the risk of price erosion and said investors might question the implications of the Sun Pharma partnership, given that the Indian company also obtained two registrations of its own. One Sun Pharma registration was issued to its Brazilian subsidiary for a product called Seemasun. The other went to Ranbaxy, a pharmaceutical company owned by Sun Pharma, whose product was named Orsema. In a press release, Sun Pharma said its partnership with Hypera strengthens its diabetes portfolio in Brazil. When contacted, however, the company did not say when it expects to launch the medicines under its own licenses. Sandoz’s semaglutide medicine, developed through partnerships with Ávita Care and Maltese pharmaceutical company Adalvo, is called Owozy. Adalvo will manufacture the medicine in Canada, while Sandoz will import and market it in Brazil under its own label. Ávita, Adalvo’s local representative in the regulatory process, submitted the registration application. “We are now responsible for bringing this molecule to market, while Adalvo owns the technology and is responsible for developing and manufacturing the molecule,” said Isabella Wanderley, president of Sandoz’s Brazilian subsidiary and a former general manager at Novo Nordisk. The Swiss company’s entry into the GLP-1 analog market establishes Sandoz’s third global business line alongside its current focus on generics and biosimilars. Brazil will be the first country to receive the company’s semaglutide pen. Wanderley said the medicine is expected to reach pharmacies between September and October. It can also be kept outside the refrigerator at temperatures of up to 30 degrees Celsius for up to 42 days after the first injection. The new competitors’ production model differs from Ozivy’s, which EMS manufactures in Brazil. Sandoz and Hypera said they currently have no plans to localize production in Brazil but are assessing the market. “Entering this segment alone increases the likelihood of an eventual decision to manufacture locally, although some pharmaceutical companies may have chosen the partnership model to test the market first,” said Reginaldo Arcuri, president of the FarmaBrasil Group. Arcuri said approvals for new medicines help combat informal sales. The unregulated and untraceable market for tirzepatide—including imports from Paraguay and compounded products—generated R$12.5 billion during the 12 months through April, according to Itaú BBA. Both Sandoz and Hypera said their medicines should cost less than Ozempic but remain within the same price range as EMS’s Ozivy, which currently costs between R$452 and R$497 for doses ranging from 0.25 mg to 1 mg. (Felipe Laurence, Victor Meneses, and Adriana Peraita contributed reporting.) Translation: Todd Harkin

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