← 返回巴西资讯
巴西资讯巴西宏观市场2026年7月20日

巴西免税进口额创26亿雷亚尔新高,中资电商物流承压

分享

Brazil’s duty-free import program hits record as tax exemption returns

巴西Remessa Conforme计划6月进口额达26亿雷亚尔,50美元以下免税政策生效后进口量翻倍,海关处理能力告急,中资电商和物流企业需关注合规与运输节奏。

为什么值得关注

26亿雷亚尔进口额创纪录,海关处理能力告急,中资电商和物流企业面临清关延迟与合规调整压力。

巴西联邦税务局数据显示,2025年6月,通过Remessa Conforme计划进口的低价免税商品总额达26亿雷亚尔,创下该计划自2023年启动以来的历史新高。这一激增发生在总统卢拉推动恢复50美元以下国际采购零进口关税之后——第1,357号临时总统令于5月12日生效,取消了此前20%的进口税。6月进口量达2740万件,日均约91万件,较5月增长40%,同比翻倍。对于在巴西从事跨境电商、物流及零售的中资企业而言,这一趋势意味着海关清关压力陡增、运输节奏可能被迫调整,同时零售端就业下滑也提示市场需求结构正在变化。

根据Valor International对联邦税务局数据的分析,6月26亿雷亚尔的进口额是2025年同期的两倍以上。自5月政策调整以来,进口总值增长77.5%,进口量增长74.2%。4月至6月间,国际运输总值增长81.5%。此前,Remessa Conforme计划的最高纪录是5月的19亿雷亚尔,再之前是2024年11月黑色星期五期间的17亿雷亚尔。联邦税务局表示,现在判断6月的激增是持久趋势还是暂时峰值还为时过早。

对于在巴西的中资企业,尤其是从事跨境电商(如Shopee、SHEIN、AliExpress等平台及其物流服务商)和消费品出口的企业,这一政策直接降低了终端消费者成本,刺激了订单量。但海关处理能力已成为瓶颈。联邦税务局海关总协调员Fabrício Betto在7月9日的公开听证会上透露,一家外国运营商的运输量在免税后增长30%,瓜鲁柳斯机场的海关单位不得不要求包裹承运商暂停向那里发送飞机,因为已无法处理到达的包裹量。坎皮纳斯(维拉科波斯机场)将开始接收每周两班从中国直飞的航班,每班载有90吨货物。这意味着中资物流企业需关注清关时效、仓储调配及与巴西海关的协调机制。同时,零售业就业数据值得警惕:5月巴西零售岗位减少近7万个,其中服装、鞋类和配饰领域减少4.3万个。这反映出免税进口对本地制造业和实体零售的冲击,可能引发后续政策调整或行业游说。

CBI解读:底稿显示,超过90%的巴西民众支持免税政策,但巴西制造业和零售业组织批评该措施出于选举动机。CBI认为,这一政策在2026年大选前具有明显政治色彩,短期内难以逆转,但海关压力可能促使政府出台操作层面的限制措施,例如对特定品类或运输频率设限。对比2024年8月前曾实施零关税、之后加征20%进口税的历史,政策反复风险不可忽视。中资企业应避免过度依赖单一免税通道,需建立多口岸、多模式的分销网络。

待观察:一是联邦税务局是否会在7-8月发布进一步数据,确认6月增长是否为趋势;二是海关是否会对中国直飞航班实施更严格的清关配额或时间窗口;三是巴西国会是否会对第1,357号临时总统令提出修改或附加条件,尤其是针对零售业就业数据的听证会结果。

CBI 观察编辑判断

底稿显示6月进口额是2025年同期的两倍以上,海关已要求承运商暂停向瓜鲁柳斯机场发货。CBI认为,这一数据表明免税政策对消费刺激效果显著,但海关基础设施短期内难以匹配增长,中资企业需提前布局坎皮纳斯等替代口岸,并关注政策反复风险。

这条资讯对你有帮助吗?

信息概要

类型
市场数据
方向
巴西
分类
宏观市场
层级
编辑整理
地点
跨境电商平台(Shopee、SHEIN、AliExpress)、物流企业、消费品出口商
核验
待核验
对象
在巴中资电商平台跨境物流企业消费品出口商
话题
政策贸易税务

来源信息

来源
Valor International
原文标题
Brazil’s duty-free import program hits record as tax exemption returns
原始语言
英语
原文链接
查看原文 →
编辑
Clara Lin
查看原文(英语

Brazil’s duty-free import program hits record as tax exemption returns

Jorge Gonçalves Filho Carol Carquejeiro/Valor Brazil has never imported as many low-cost goods with tax exemptions or reduced duties as it did in June through the Remessa Conforme program, created by the federal government in 2023 to regulate low-value international shipments. Last month, international shipments reached a record R$2.6 billion, the highest level since the advance customs clearance program was launched, according to a Valor analysis of Federal Revenue data. The surge in shipments came shortly after the government, following a personal push by President Lula, reinstated a zero import duty on international purchases below $50. Since the rules changed in May, the total value of goods shipped to Brazil has risen 77.5%, while shipment volume has increased 74.2%. Compared with June 2025, the value of imports more than doubled. Tax reform shifts revenue weight toward Brazilian cities Government expands financing for app drivers to include pre-owned cars Election-year benefits struggle to revive Brazilian retail To put the figure into perspective, the R$2.6 billion recorded in June is equivalent to Lojas Renner’s total net apparel sales during the first quarter (January through March). It is also nine times the value of all sales generated by retailer Marisa during the same three-month period. Organizations representing Brazil’s manufacturing and retail sectors criticized the federal government, arguing that the measure was politically motivated ahead of the presidential election, now five months away. Surveys indicate that more than 90% of Brazilians support restoring the tax exemption. The zero-duty policy was in place until August 2024, when a 20% import tax took effect. Asked for comment, the Federal Revenue said it is too early to determine whether June’s surge reflects a lasting trend or merely a temporary spike. International marketplaces argue that the measure democratizes consumption by expanding access to a broader range of products while also creating jobs. The official data show imports began accelerating in May after the government issued the Provisional Presidential Decree No. 1,357 on May 12. The measure eliminated the 20% import duty on international purchases of up to $50 and also reduced the tax burden on shipments valued between $50 and $3,000. For packages in that price range, the statutory import duty remains 60%, with a fixed $30 deduction from the tax amount, effectively lowering the final cost for consumers. Employment data for the retail sector show that Brazil eliminated nearly 70,000 retail jobs in May, the month the provisional measure was issued, according to the General Register of Employed and Unemployed Workers (Caged). More than half of those job losses—43,000—occurred in the apparel, footwear, and accessories segment. On July 9, the Federal Revenue released updated Remessa Conforme data showing that shipments rose 29.6% in May from April to R$1.9 billion. In June, shipments increased by another 37% from May, reaching R$2.6 billion. Based on those figures, the total value of international shipments increased 81.5% between April and June alone. Compared with 2025, the value more than doubled, rising from R$1.29 billion to R$2.6 billion. The period covers both the months before and after the decree was issued, including the increase already recorded in May, when online platforms began informing customers they could once again import goods worth up to $50 without paying import duties. Before June, the previous record under the Remessa Conforme program had been set in May this year, at R$1.9 billion. Before that, the highest monthly total had been recorded in November 2025, during the Black Friday shopping season, at R$1.7 billion. In terms of volume, June also marked the highest level since the program’s launch three years ago. Brazil received 27.4 million individual shipments during the month—about 910,000 per day—up 40% from May, which itself had risen 24.6% from April. Compared with June 2025, Brazilians purchased more than twice as many packages from abroad, with shipment volumes rising 116%. Valor learned that during a public hearing in Brasília on July 9 on the illegal market, Fabrício Betto, the Federal Revenue’s general coordinator for customs administration, highlighted the sharp increase in legal imports following the tax exemption and said customs authorities had to ask shipping companies to slow deliveries to Brazil temporarily. “I spoke with one of these foreign operators, and their shipment volumes increased by 30% after the exemption. Two weeks ago, the Federal Revenue unit at Guarulhos Airport had to ask parcel carriers to stop sending aircraft there because they simply no longer had the capacity to process the volume of packages arriving,” Betto told the congressional committee. “Today we learned that Campinas [Viracopos Airport] will begin receiving two weekly flights carrying 90 tonnes of shipments directly from China,” he added. On Thursday (16), analysts at BTG Pactual and Citi published reports citing the Federal Revenue data and warning of potential negative effects on Brazilian retailers. BTG noted that local companies are now better positioned to compete with international marketplaces. Even so, retail stocks came under pressure on Friday (17), with C&A shares falling 2.3% and Lojas Renner declining 1.68%. Despite concerns among Brazilian companies about possible negative effects on employment, consumers continue to favor imported goods. A survey conducted between May 12 and May 21 with 1,300 consumers found that 92% believe permanently eliminating the tax is the right decision. Support reached 97% in southeastern Brazil and 94% in the Northeast, according to Proteste | Euroconsumers Brasil. About 75% of respondents said they consider taxes on purchases of up to $50 unfair. Among lower-income consumers in socioeconomic classes C and D, that figure rises to 79%. The survey did not ask respondents about the potential impact on jobs or income generation in Brazil. “There is no technical justification whatsoever for eliminating the tax. The only explanation is the search for votes. At a time when the government needs more revenue, it is also giving money away,” said Jorge Gonçalves Filho, president of the Institute for Retail Development (IDV), which represents about 70 retail chains. In 2025, the 20% import duty generated R$5 billion in tax revenue, a 74% increase. In 2022, retail accounted for 11.1% of Brazil’s GDP. That fell to 10.5% in 2023, 10% in 2025, and declined further to 9.9% in April this year, Gonçalves Filho said. “The problem is that this pressure comes on top of the rapid growth of online betting, rising household indebtedness, and the workweek reform. In that environment, there is no room for retailers to resume investment.” According to Edmundo Lima, executive director of the Brazilian Textile Retail Association (Abvtex), the industry has submitted a proposed amendment to Congress that would establish a zero tax rate for products aimed at the mass-market retail segment. “Eliminating the 20% duty is unjustifiable, except for electoral reasons,” he said. “We support an amendment that would exempt products priced at up to R$250, equivalent to the $50 threshold. We see room for debate among lawmakers from different political groups. Another option would be broader tax relief, but given current fiscal pressures, that has less political appeal.” “We expect that lawmakers will recognize the magnitude of the problem and allow the provisional decree to expire in September, although we believe that is unlikely because it would happen before the election and the measure has electoral appeal,” he said. Foreign marketplaces argue that opening Brazil further to imports democratizes consumption and creates jobs. “Companies have invested heavily in logistics and distribution in recent years and have also created jobs for last-mile delivery workers. Just look at the streets and see how many delivery drivers and self-employed workers are active,” said an executive at an international marketplace. In a statement, Amobitec, which represents international digital platforms, said the increase in sales was “natural and expected.” Valor contacted the Presidential Communications Secretariat, the Finance Ministry, and the Federal Revenue for comment on the data and the claims made by the various parties. The Federal Revenue said that about 32% of the nearly R$13 billion in imports processed through the program so far in 2026 involved shipments worth more than $50, which remain subject to import duties, totaling R$4.2 billion. The agency said the purpose of Remessa Conforme is to improve customs controls and enforcement, adding that since the program was launched, more than 2 million shipments destined for Brazil have been rejected for failing to comply with legal requirements. It also noted that the increase in international parcel shipments reflects a broader global trend driven by the expansion of e-commerce.

觉得有价值?

分享给需要了解巴西市场的朋友

帮助更多中国企业看懂巴西,做成生意

China Brazil Insight · 中巴合作价值链中的信息节点

这条资讯影响你的业务吗?

CBI 提供从信息到行动的完整支持