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巴西资讯巴西宏观市场2026年7月18日

巴西工业脱碳无“银弹”,中资高耗能企业需关注流程改造与储能

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Decarbonization requires a set of solutions

巴西虽拥有全球最清洁电网之一,但工业脱碳仍需多路径协同,铝业等高耗能行业面临流程改造压力,储能和劳动力培训成关键瓶颈,中资企业需提前布局。

为什么值得关注

巴西工业脱碳从电网优势转向流程改造,高耗能中资企业面临技术升级和劳动力培训双重压力,储能与生物质气化或成新增长点。

在圣保罗举行的“能源转型”活动中,淡水河谷、WEG、Klabin等巴西工业与电力行业高管一致认为,脱碳没有单一解决方案。巴西电网可再生能源比例高,但铝业等企业仍需改造生产流程,许多技术尚未规模化。农业领域四项措施可贡献80%脱碳,而储能(尤其是电池)被视为风能和太阳能扩张的关键。融资存在但常与需求错配,劳动力短缺普遍,WEG已投资AI和电子培训。

巴西拥有全球最清洁的电网之一,但这并未自动转化为工业竞争力。在Valor与O Globo于圣保罗举办的“能源转型”活动中,工业、电力及商业团体高管指出,脱碳需要针对不同经济活动采取不同方案。淡水河谷气候变化与脱碳总监Rodrigo Lauria表示:“没有银弹,需要一系列协调行动。”根据国际能源署,工业约占全球能源相关CO2排放的四分之一。巴西起点有利,但高耗能行业挑战依旧。巴西铝业协会CEO Janaína Donas称,许多技术尚未达到必要规模,企业需“重新发明轮子”。巴西可持续发展商业委员会(CEBDS)联合企业、高校绘制减排机会图,发现农业领域四项措施可贡献80%脱碳。WEG技术副总裁Carlos Grillo强调储能(尤其是电池)对风能和太阳能的关键作用。Abrage主席Marisete Dadald Pereira指出需扩大系统基础设施并确保安全可靠性。融资方面,CEBDS技术执行总监Alessandra Fajardo表示资金存在但常与需求不匹配。Klabin工业总监Ricardo Cardoso报告通过生物质气化替代燃料油,单厂减少消耗超2万吨。劳动力短缺被普遍视为瓶颈,WEG已投资人工智能、电子和连接性培训。

对于在巴西的中资企业,尤其是铝业、钢铁、水泥等高耗能制造业,以及农业和可再生能源投资方,这一趋势意味着直接冲击。巴西电网清洁优势虽降低部分排放压力,但生产流程改造、储能配套和劳动力培训将成为新的合规与成本变量。底稿未明确提及中资企业直接影响,但通过ANEEL监管下的电力市场、ANVISA涉及的生物质项目审批、以及CAMEX可能调整的碳关税政策,中资企业需关注流程改造和储能技术投入。采购环节中,生物质气化设备、电池储能系统需求可能上升;出口环节中,产品碳强度将成为竞争力指标。

CBI解读:底稿显示巴西工业脱碳正从“电网清洁”转向“全链条改造”,储能和劳动力培训成为新瓶颈。CBI认为,中资企业若在巴西布局铝业或农业,需提前评估流程改造周期和成本,并关注CEBDS绘制的减排机会图,尤其是农业领域四项措施的具体内容。横向对比,类似印度、印尼等新兴市场也在推进工业脱碳,但巴西的电网优势使其更聚焦于流程创新而非电源替换。

待观察:一是巴西国家电力局(ANEEL)是否出台储能补贴或抽水蓄能专项政策;二是CEBDS发布的农业四项措施具体清单及实施时间表;三是Klabin生物质气化项目是否被推广至其他州,以及相关设备进口关税变化。

CBI 观察编辑判断

底稿明确巴西工业脱碳无单一解决方案,储能和劳动力培训是普遍瓶颈。CBI认为,中资企业应优先关注CEBDS的农业减排四项措施和WEG的储能技术路线,这些领域可能率先获得政策或融资倾斜。

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信息概要

类型
行业趋势
方向
巴西
分类
宏观市场
层级
编辑整理
地点
铝业、钢铁、水泥等高耗能制造业,农业及可再生能源投资方
核验
待核验
对象
在巴中资制造业企业在巴中资农业企业在巴中资可再生能源投资者
话题
行业趋势政策

来源信息

来源
Valor International
原文标题
Decarbonization requires a set of solutions
原始语言
英语
原文链接
查看原文 →
编辑
Clara Lin
查看原文(英语

Decarbonization requires a set of solutions

Ricardo Cardoso (Klabin, left), Carlos José Grillo (WEG), Marisete Dadald Pereira (Abrage), and João Sorima (O Globo) Gabriel Reis/Valor Having one of the cleanest electricity grids in the world has not been enough to guarantee a competitive advantage for Brazilian industry. After expanding the share of renewable sources in power generation, the challenge now is to turn that advantage into competitiveness. The topic was discussed at the event “Energy Transition – Energy and Industry: how to decarbonize without losing competitiveness,” organized by Valor and O Globo in São Paulo. Executives from industry, the electricity sector, and business groups argued that decarbonization will require different solutions for each economic activity. “There will be no silver bullet. What you have is a sequence of coordinated actions,” said Rodrigo Lauria, climate change and decarbonization director at Vale. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), industry accounts for about one-quarter of global energy-related carbon dioxide emissions. Brazil starts from a favorable position because it has one of the most renewable electricity grids in the world. That, however, does not eliminate the challenges facing the most energy-intensive industrial sectors. Reducing emissions in aluminum, for example, also depends on transforming production processes. “In Brazil’s case, we have a competitive advantage because our energy grid already reduces an important share of emissions. But does that mean our decarbonization exercise is over? No,” said Janaína Donas, CEO of the Brazilian Aluminum Association (Abal). According to her, many technologies have still not reached the necessary scale, requiring companies to “reinvent the wheel, reinvent the business.” To identify where efforts should be concentrated, the Brazilian Business Council for Sustainable Development (CEBDS) brought together companies, associations, universities, and research centers to map opportunities to reduce emissions across several production chains. “Often, four key measures were responsible for 70% of decarbonization. In agribusiness, four measures accounted for 80%,” said Alessandra Fajardo, the organization’s technical executive director. In her view, the study showed that each sector will have its own path to reducing emissions. The advance of renewable generation also brings new challenges. With the expansion of solar and wind power, energy storage and grid stability have increasingly come to the fore in sector discussions. “In wind and solar energy, nature calls the shots. The solution is storage. And the best way to store energy today is batteries,” said Carlos José Bastos Grillo, vice president of technology at WEG. The need to expand infrastructure was also highlighted by Marisete Dadald Pereira, president of the Brazilian Association of Electric Power Generation Companies (Abrage). “You have to expand the system while considering all the systemic resources it needs to ensure safety and reliability,” she said. According to her, the expansion of renewable sources has made energy a strategic factor for competitiveness and reinforced the importance of storage solutions, such as pumped-storage hydropower. Another challenge pointed out by participants is financing the transition. “Is there money? Yes. But it often does not perfectly match the need,” Fajardo said. Many projects, she said, run into the minimum scale required by financiers or the difficulty of allocating risk between investors and companies, which slows the adoption of new technologies. “The decarbonization agenda is not just an emissions-reduction agenda. Above all, it is a competitiveness agenda,” Lauria said. According to him, reducing the carbon intensity of products tends to become a commercial advantage as new markets begin to incorporate environmental criteria into purchasing decisions. For Ricardo Cardoso, industrial, engineering, and projects executive director at Klabin, progress on decarbonization will depend on combining new technologies with gains in operational efficiency. The company has been replacing fuel oil with biomass gasification and expanding the use of renewable raw materials. “We were able to reduce fuel-oil consumption by more than 20,000 tonnes at a specific plant,” he said. Workforce training is another bottleneck for the energy transition in Brazil. Cardoso said more sophisticated technologies require increasingly specialized professionals. At the same time, Grillo noted that the shortage of qualified workers affects virtually every industrial sector. For the WEG executive, “there is no more democratic problem” for industry than the lack of qualified labor. According to him, the company has invested for decades in training programs, now focused mainly on areas such as artificial intelligence, electronics, and connectivity. Pereira said expanding investments will also be decisive for training specialized professionals. According to her, without new projects, the electricity sector loses its ability to retain technical knowledge. “We have a duty to provide the system with opportunities for new investments to retain this knowledge, which is only developed through practical application in projects,” she said. Although they addressed different realities, participants converged on the view that industrial decarbonization is unlikely to follow a single path. “This effort toward energy transition and decarbonization does not have a single solution. It is a set of solutions,” summarized Donas, of Abal. Fajardo, of CEBDS, reinforced the same idea, arguing that each production chain should focus its efforts on measures capable of generating the greatest impact. “It is up to each industry to see where it needs to act and what works for it.” The debate was moderated by Rafael Vázquez, a Valor reporter, and João Sorima, a journalist at O Globo. The Energy Transition project is an initiative of the newspapers Valor and O Globo, sponsored by Vale. Translation: Todd Harkin

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