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难民移民为巴西贡献170亿雷亚尔税收,中资企业用工成本或可优化

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Refugees and immigrants contribute more than they cost, UNHCR says

联合国难民署与UFMG联合研究显示,2024年巴西难民和移民缴纳超170亿雷亚尔税款,缺勤率低20.9%,生产力28个月后超越本地工人;不雇佣的隐性成本达600亿雷亚尔,中资企业可借此优化用工策略。

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170亿雷亚尔税收贡献、缺勤率低20.9%、隐性成本600亿雷亚尔——直接关联在巴中资制造业和食品纺织行业的用工成本与生产力优化。

联合国难民署(UNHCR)与米纳斯吉拉斯联邦大学经济学院区域发展与规划中心(Cedeplar/UFMG)联合发布研究报告,基于2018年至2024年官方数据,分析了难民和移民在巴西劳动力市场的经济与社会影响。研究显示,2024年巴西拥有正式就业的难民和移民达27.5万人,当年缴纳超过170亿雷亚尔的税款和社保费用。与此同时,难民和移民对城市社会救助支出的影响在最坏情况下也低于3%。这一数据为在巴中资企业评估雇佣难民和移民的潜在收益提供了量化依据。

报告指出,难民和移民的生产力在就业约28个月后与巴西本地工人持平,之后甚至超越;在中高级职业和大型企业中,这一匹配更为迅速。定性分析显示,管理者评价难民和移民员工时,常提到其随工龄、语言能力和资历快速晋升。此外,难民和移民的缺勤率比本地劳动力低20.9%,导致系统性更低的缺勤成本。UNHCR官员Paulo Sergio de Almeida表示,该研究有助于用证据取代观念,表明难民获得正式工作后能促进经济发展、增加税收并加强社区发展。

对于在巴中资企业,尤其是制造业、食品加工和纺织行业——这些行业在东南部地区受难民和移民劳动力影响更大——该研究提供了明确的用工策略参考。底稿虽未直接涉及中资企业案例,但通过劳动力成本与生产力机制间接传导:雇佣难民和移民可降低缺勤成本、提升生产力,并减少因不雇佣而产生的“隐性成本”。研究显示,不雇佣难民和移民的隐性成本从2018年的约400亿雷亚尔增至2024年的约600亿雷亚尔,这意味着企业若忽视这一劳动力群体,可能面临更高的机会成本。

CBI解读:底稿数据表明,难民和移民并非公共财政负担,而是净贡献者。CBI认为,这一结论有助于在巴中资企业重新审视招聘策略,尤其是在当前巴西劳动力市场紧张、合规成本上升的背景下。与本地工人相比,难民和移民的忠诚度与低缺勤率可能为企业带来更稳定的生产节奏。但需注意,雇佣难民和移民涉及签证、劳动登记等合规环节,企业应提前咨询法律团队。

待观察:一是巴西联邦政府是否会基于该研究推出针对难民和移民的就业激励政策,如税收减免或社保补贴;二是2025年难民和移民正式就业人数能否突破30万,以验证生产力追赶趋势的持续性;三是食品和纺织行业的中资企业是否会率先调整招聘结构,并公开相关用工数据。

CBI 观察编辑判断

事实:研究显示难民和移民在就业28个月后生产力超越本地工人,缺勤率低20.9%。CBI认为,这一数据为在巴中资企业提供了量化的人力资源决策依据,尤其是在当前巴西劳动力成本上升的周期中。但企业需注意,该研究基于2018-2024年数据,未覆盖2025年政策变化,且不同行业的生产力追赶速度可能存在差异。

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信息概要

类型
公共事件
方向
巴西
分类
宏观市场
层级
编辑整理
地点
在巴中资企业,特别是制造业、食品加工和纺织行业
核验
待核验
对象
在巴中资企业制造业企业食品纺织行业投资者
话题
行业趋势公共事件

来源信息

来源
Valor International
原文标题
Refugees and immigrants contribute more than they cost, UNHCR says
原始语言
英语
原文链接
查看原文 →
编辑
Clara Lin
查看原文(英语

Refugees and immigrants contribute more than they cost, UNHCR says

Venezuelans Nehomar Alonso Diaz Martinez (left) and Santiago Abraham take part in professional training in Manaus Alef Kaf/Acnur The presence of refugees and immigrants in the Brazilian labor market generates more benefits than the costs of welcoming them when they first arrive in the country. This is according to the study “Economic and Social Impacts of the Inclusion and Hiring of Refugees and Migrants in Brazil,” conducted by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) together with the Center for Regional Development and Planning at the School of Economics of the Federal University of Minas Gerais (Cedeplar/UFMG), with support from the UN Global Compact. According to the survey, based on official data from 2018 to 2024, the workforce comprising refugees and immigrants in Brazil paid more than R$17 billion in taxes and contributions, with 275,000 people in formal employment in 2024 alone. At the same time, on the public-cost side, the impact was less than 3% of social-assistance spending in the municipalities studied, even in the worst-case scenario. The study also analyzed the productivity potential of workers who arrived in the country as refugees or immigrants and found that they tend to match Brazilian workers within a short period of time and, in the long term, even surpass them. According to the general analysis, at the national aggregate level, the productivity of refugees and immigrants matches that of Brazilian workers after about 28 months of employment and exceeds it thereafter. In mid- and high-level occupations and in large establishments, for example, the match is immediate. According to the report, the qualitative analysis, based on testimony from managers who evaluated the performance of native-born and refugee workers at their companies, highlights frequent upward mobility associated with time at the company, language skills, and qualifications. “This survey helps change the debate on refuge in Brazil by replacing perceptions with evidence. The data shows that when refugees have access to formal work, they contribute to economic development, increase tax revenue, and strengthen the development of the communities where they live,” said Paulo Sergio de Almeida, livelihoods and economic inclusion officer at UNHCR. For Almeida, despite the finding that the presence of refugees and immigrants in the local labor market benefits both public authorities and companies, the challenge remains to translate this evidence into more public policies and more opportunities for inclusion through coordinated action by governments, companies, and civil society. Another finding from the study indicates that absenteeism—the number of work absences—tends to be lower among workers who came to the country as refugees and immigrants. According to the data, the likelihood of absence from work is 20.9% lower than in the local workforce, resulting in a systematically lower differential cost of absenteeism throughout the period. Based on this and other factors, the study says there is an invisible cost to not hiring workers with this profile. According to the report, the productivity gains that companies fail to capture by not hiring immigrant and refugee workers rose from just over R$40 billion in 2018 to about R$60 billion in 2024 in the aggregate, with higher amounts in the Southeast and in the food and textile industries. The data reinforce the message from UNHCR and other organizations that work with refugees. Despite the stigma of vulnerability associated with people who flee their countries, they arrive with an above-average desire to rebuild their lives. In addition to the resilience gained from facing hardship, they also bring professional skills and knowledge that contribute to companies and local society. “The inclusion of refugees in the labor market produces concrete results for businesses. Companies find committed professionals, reduce hiring bottlenecks, and become more competitive,” said Gabriela Rozman, education and productive inclusion manager at the UN Global Compact Network Brazil. “At the same time, they contribute to a more inclusive economy and a fairer society,” she concluded. Translation: Todd Harkin

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