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巴西资讯巴西宏观市场2026年8月14日

巴西建筑工业化率仅15.7%,中资工程承包与建材出口迎窗口期

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Industrialized construction still rare on Brazilian job sites

FGV Ibre即将发布建筑工业化指数,巴西仅15.7%项目采用现代工艺,但水泥板、钢结构框架等组件使用率快速攀升。劳动力短缺倒逼行业转型,中资建材出口与工程承包企业面临结构性机会。

为什么值得关注

巴西建筑工业化率仅15.7%但增速明显,水泥板、钢结构框架使用率一年翻倍,直接关系中资建材出口与工程承包市场布局。

巴西经济研究所(FGV Ibre)将于本周发布新的建筑工业化指数(IGIC)。数据显示,尽管48.2%的建筑公司在部分或全部项目中采用了工业化方法,但仅有15.7%的项目可被归类为工业化项目,较去年6月的14.8%上升近一个百分点。该指数首次系统追踪巴西建筑工业化进程,对评估税收改革效果及行业现代化水平具有标志性意义。对于在巴从事工程承包、建材贸易的中资企业而言,这一数据意味着巴西建筑市场正处在从传统现浇向工厂预制转型的早期阶段,供应链格局将随之重塑。

FGV Ibre建筑项目协调员Ana Castelo解释,工业化项目需使用预制结构(包括运至现场的混凝土墙)、钢结构框架、干墙、预制管道套件等工厂制造组件。部分使用涉及一个或多个施工阶段,而全过程可延伸至整栋建筑预制并在最终地点组装。从产品渗透率看,干墙是最常用的工业化产品(65.8%),其次是预制混凝土(61.2%)和钢结构(51%)。增长最快的品类集中在2025至2026年间:水泥板使用率从18.1%升至34.3%,钢结构框架从15.6%升至32%,预制立面从12.9%升至28%。Castelo指出,巴西缺乏历史基准,甚至其他国家也缺少此类指数,因此难以判断当前采用水平是否令人满意,但现代施工系统仍有相当大的扩展空间。

对中资企业而言,这一趋势的传导路径清晰。首先,建材出口商应关注水泥板、钢结构框架、预制立面等增速最快的品类——这些产品正是中国建材供应链的优势领域,巴西本地产能不足,进口依赖度可能上升。其次,工程承包企业需评估自身在预制装配式施工方面的技术储备,巴西大型住宅和基础设施项目招标中,工业化施工能力或逐渐成为评分项。第三,税收环境变化值得警惕:Castelo明确表示,长期税收不平衡制约了工业化发展——传统现场施工主要缴纳ISS服务税,而工厂生产并运输至现场需缴纳ICMS和IPI等工业税,使工业化选项在到达现场前就已更昂贵。若巴西税制改革未能消除这一差异,工业化产品的成本优势将被削弱,中资企业报价时需将税负成本纳入测算。底稿未涉及中资企业直接影响,但通过建材贸易和工程承包两个渠道间接传导。

CBI解读:底稿显示,劳动力短缺已成为巴西企业采用现代方法的主要驱动因素——建筑行业面临熟练劳动力短缺,工业化程度越高所需工人越少,且现代工艺提供更好的工作条件,可能吸引女性和年轻人。数据表明,巴西建筑工业化正从"边缘尝试"走向"主流选项",但15.7%的工业化项目占比仍处于极低水平。CBI认为,这一数字恰恰说明市场处于爆发前夜:当劳动力成本持续上升、政府推动住房建设提速时,工业化是唯一能同时解决"用工荒"和"交付周期"的方案。中资企业不应被当前低渗透率迷惑,而应关注增速——水泥板使用率一年内近乎翻倍,钢结构框架翻倍以上,这种陡峭的增长曲线往往预示着供应链瓶颈即将出现。

待观察:其一,IGIC指数正式发布后,FGV Ibre是否公布分区域或分建筑类型的细分数据,这将帮助中资企业锁定重点市场;其二,巴西税制改革(特别是ISS与ICMS合并方案)在国会的最新进展,直接决定工业化产品的成本竞争力;其三,2026年6月下一期IGIC数据中,工业化项目占比能否突破18%——若达到该水平,可确认行业进入加速通道。

CBI 观察编辑判断

事实层面,FGV Ibre数据显示巴西工业化项目占比仅15.7%,但水泥板、钢结构框架等关键组件使用率在2025-2026年间接近翻倍。CBI认为,这一增速表明巴西建筑工业化正越过早期采用者阶段,进入早期多数市场,中资建材供应链企业应关注未来12-18个月的进口订单放量窗口。

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信息概要

类型
行业趋势
方向
巴西
分类
宏观市场
层级
编辑整理
地点
中资建材出口商、工程承包企业、巴西建筑行业
核验
待核验
对象
在巴中资建材出口商工程承包企业建筑供应链投资者
话题
行业趋势科技

来源信息

来源
Valor International
原文标题
Industrialized construction still rare on Brazilian job sites
原始语言
英语
原文链接
查看原文 →
编辑
Clara Lin
查看原文(英语

Industrialized construction still rare on Brazilian job sites

Ana Castelo Keiny Andrade/Valor Nearly half of construction companies already use industrialized methods at some stage of construction, but modern processes are present in only 15.7% of the sector’s projects, up nearly one percentage point from 14.8% in June last year. That is one of the findings of the new Construction Industrialization Index (IGIC) to be released this week by the Brazilian Institute of Economics at Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV Ibre). In June, 33.6% of companies said they used industrialized systems in their projects, while 14.6% said they used them in some projects, bringing the share of companies with some degree of adoption to 48.2%, according to data obtained exclusively by Valor. However, the combination of the two subindexes that make up the IGIC—one measuring adoption and the other intensity—shows that only 15.7% of projects can be classified as industrialized. Ana Castelo, FGV Ibre’s construction project coordinator, explains that for a project to be considered partly or fully industrialized, it must use construction systems such as precast structures—including concrete walls delivered ready-made to the job site—steel framing, drywall, prefabricated plumbing kits and other factory-made components. “There are several stages. Partial use involves one or more phases of construction, while the process can extend to prefabricating an entire building and assembling it at its final location. The use of these systems is growing in Brazil, and now we will have an index to track that development,” Castelo said. According to her, the IGIC will be updated annually. The lack of historical benchmarks in Brazil—and even of industrialized construction indexes in other countries—makes it difficult to determine whether Brazil’s level of adoption is satisfactory. Still, Castelo notes that modern construction systems have considerable room to expand in the country. The IGIC will also help assess whether the tax reform will drive the sector’s modernization, which tends to raise productivity in an activity that has historically relied on manual methods and posted low productivity in Brazil. Castelo explains that a longstanding tax imbalance has constrained the growth of industrialized construction in Brazil in recent decades. Conventional on-site construction is taxed predominantly as a service under ISS. By contrast, manufacturing steel-frame panels or concrete walls in factories and transporting them to a job site, for example, adds industrial taxes such as ICMS and IPI to the cost, frequently making the industrialized option more expensive before it even reaches the site. “If you produce at the job site, you pay ISS. If you produce at a factory and take it to the job site, you pay ICMS, which is much higher,” Castelo said. “Our indicator will now track whether this dynamic changes with the tax reform,” she added. Although uncertainty remains over whether the new tax conditions will actually help expand industrialization in the sector, Castelo said labor shortages are already the main factor influencing companies’ willingness to adopt modern construction methods. “The construction industry faces a shortage of skilled labor, and a more industrialized sector needs fewer workers. That is why industrializing construction increasingly makes sense,” Castelo said. “These are also modern processes that offer better working conditions and could even help attract women and young people, who have not been drawn to construction jobs.” Against this backdrop, the IGIC found that drywall is the most widely used industrialized product in building projects, at 65.8%, followed by precast concrete at 61.2% and steel structures at 51%. However, some less widespread technologies posted more pronounced gains. Between 2025 and 2026, the use of cement panels in buildings rose to 34.3% from 18.1%, while steel framing increased to 32% from 15.6%, according to the IGIC. The use of prefabricated façades also climbed to 28% from 12.9%. “The figures show that industrialization is beginning to gain ground within companies. However, there is an important difference between adopting these methods and industrializing at scale,” Castelo cautioned. According to FGV Ibre’s construction project coordinator, industrializing construction is not simply a technological issue. “It is directly related to some of the sector’s main economic challenges: productivity, labor availability and skills, costs, completion times, and the capacity to expand housing and infrastructure production.” Translation: Todd Harkin

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