{"editorial":{"content_id":"ffae1eb8-6e99-4942-8335-4015a72b20fa","slug":"article-20261022-213aeb","content_type":"news","title":"巴西财长称2027年预算基本盈余预测维持不变","summary":"巴西财政部长杜里甘表示，尽管政府近期宣布多项影响公共账户的措施，2027年预算基本盈余预测仍维持，且未改动财政框架规则。","body":"巴西财政部长达里奥·杜里甘周四（22日）表示，尽管政府近期宣布了影响公共账户的措施，2027年预算的基本盈余预测仍然维持。他称这些举措是在现行财政规则内规划的，未改变财政框架。\n\n杜里甘在接受Metrópoles门户采访时说，政府正在交付明年的预算盈余，并把这一盈余预测留给下一届政府。他还为现任政府的公共账户管理辩护，称自2023年以来巴西财政状况改善了2000亿雷亚尔。\n\n他列举的已宣布措施包括：Bolsa Família补助金上调约15%、降低燃料成本的行动、Desenrola 3.0债务重组计划以及体育博彩相关举措；政府还提交了宪法修正案提案，拟在周末和节假日实行公共交通免费。杜里甘称这些措施遵循技术和财政标准，是在不改变国家财政规则的前提下寻找空间、确定优先事项。\n\n关于燃料补贴和税收减免，杜里甘称相关措施与中东战争对油价和联邦收入的影响有关；royalties和税收的额外收入预期使政府得以将资源用于降低柴油和汽油成本。他还表示，Bolsa Família的上调是在确认有财政空间吸收支出增加后才宣布的。\n\n为容纳部分成本，计划与预算部宣布政府拟向国会提交修改2027年年度预算案（PLOA）的提案，预计重新分配约200亿雷亚尔，不提高总支出上限；其余财政影响将通过修订强制性支出估算来消化。\n\n杜里甘还区分了Desenrola等债务重新谈判与债务冻结：Desenrola旨在为家庭和企业提供恢复正常还款和重新获得信贷的条件。前两轮中债权人以平均约95%的折价拍卖债务；第三阶段政府将以至少90%的折扣购买部分债务，折扣可能随拍卖而更大。他称债务冻结意味着大范围停止还款，将直接影响债权人资金流，可能造成高达3万亿雷亚尔的违约。","why_it_matters":null,"cbi_observation":null,"direction_tag":"巴西","primary_category":"宏观市场","secondary_topics":["政策","金融"],"content_level":"编辑整理","event_type":"政策法规","audience_tags":[],"event_location":null,"verification_status":"unverified","published_at":"2026-10-22T23:01:45.883Z","display_date":"2026-10-22","source_published_at":null,"source_url":"https://agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br/economia/noticia/2026-10/previsao-de-superavit-no-orcamento-de-2027-esta-mantida-diz-durigan","source_name":"Agência Brasil — Economia","source_language":"pt","author_name":"编辑部","risk_level":"low","risk_flags":[],"opportunity_flags":[],"trend_signals":[]},"intelligence":null,"meta":{"canonical_url":"https://chinabrazilinsight.com/news/article-20261022-213aeb","api_url":"https://chinabrazilinsight.com/api/public/content/article-20261022-213aeb","markdown_url":"https://chinabrazilinsight.com/api/public/content/article-20261022-213aeb?view=markdown","json_url":"https://chinabrazilinsight.com/api/public/content/article-20261022-213aeb?view=json","last_updated":"2026-10-22T23:02:13.852Z","platform":"China Brazil Insight","platform_url":"https://chinabrazilinsight.com"}}